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Frozen pre-match forecast · #157085

Binissalem VS Arenal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 16:04 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.50%
Draw
23.27%
Away
17.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 16:04 UTC
SHA-256
f4ffbdc9bd79a1c514df804a0790a01f1729acda2aa40f6276a70c8aeb71671a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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