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Frozen pre-match forecast · #157037

Djeffa VS Bani Gansè

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 16:04 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.22%
Draw
31.31%
Away
38.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5680
Log loss
0.9553

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 16:04 UTC
SHA-256
8e2c47d52575d59c76bf3f042d78d34acc014d8ad45a5f49a6fecb87e976076f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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