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Frozen pre-match forecast · #156621

Tympaki VS Panakrotiriakos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:04 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.02%
Draw
26.54%
Away
44.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7717
Log loss
1.2372

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 14:04 UTC
SHA-256
c01eab7a760146791bcabe81355e7e3dbfd124aba5999a10602249d9c810cb4f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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