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Frozen pre-match forecast · #156491

Weiche Flensburg VS Kickers Emden

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
76.08%
Draw
13.68%
Away
10.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
SHA-256
29120ba98b86f8f88a2ec65d8b750fc2cfd744922b7f7f676647df42a53d1da3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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