Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #156317

Deltras VS Dejan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:04 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.10%
Draw
21.78%
Away
16.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1367
Log loss
1.8251

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 12:04 UTC
SHA-256
f657d913f4dd87f2178850f806b0ceee35a16d9a59087d76cd456e0cfeaf1a26

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →