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Frozen pre-match forecast · #155848

Khroub VS JSM Skikda

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.23%
Draw
28.06%
Away
19.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3458
Log loss
0.6495

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
c9ea7e840023007918dbf9bb262b4755fa88986d6de8cee7d9ac2911c9f38c91

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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