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Frozen pre-match forecast · #155826

Paradou AC VS JS Jijel

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.71%
Draw
20.37%
Away
10.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1513
Log loss
0.3752

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
3c5e332dd7f0e1fef6182bc509c38ceb272816ff58357300ae12d0c194eb22a8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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