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Frozen pre-match forecast · #155562

Utsikten VS Tvååker

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.55%
Draw
23.71%
Away
43.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.4787
Log loss
0.8269

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
303681cf79287f143443b3e0e9a3232e2d31b8535b21fec8b25a416663768230

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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