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Frozen pre-match forecast · #155402

Didube 2014 VS Gonio

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.01%
Draw
24.11%
Away
39.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5494
Log loss
0.9194

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
9ad0d2d2b5cac79069ccaee8b60a6f0c415bbae09fa3085336c6f5fe81647f88

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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