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Frozen pre-match forecast · #155118

Hang Yuen VS Manila Digger

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.18%
Draw
25.78%
Away
51.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
effbe39adf71c4085a895227acb79477504114036ff47424f1178367839de226

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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