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Frozen pre-match forecast · #154783

Depor FC VS Quindio

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.57%
Draw
28.81%
Away
43.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4769
Log loss
0.8297

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
7db500e4b91d387de815d795d0e27655ebc6b9ed3b1dc504199fd17913bf1fca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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