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Frozen pre-match forecast · #154684

Olmaliq VS PFK Guliston

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
80.47%
Draw
12.89%
Away
6.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0592
Log loss
0.2173

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
6ccb75bef511c8a94c1cf0b0254ca6bcca33044734e1b1ebb17817f49c3335c1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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