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Frozen pre-match forecast · #154236

Cádiz II VS Linense

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.81%
Draw
27.60%
Away
24.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8132
Log loss
1.2873

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
02626e120ae33f44336a29a8a323ad544fd20a9b61514e8455578e4b99722230

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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