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Frozen pre-match forecast · #15421

Inter de Minas VS Santarritense

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 18:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.52%
Draw
29.93%
Away
35.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6447
Log loss
1.0636

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 18:01 UTC
SHA-256
789c175041bf733e4688aaf33bc2a4633d41222354dfa49db8f51f284ea4d638

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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