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Frozen pre-match forecast · #154116

Klepp W VS Åsane W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
2.72%
Draw
7.68%
Away
89.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.0175
Log loss
0.1098

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
3ea21c7a882aaa31a037be6d22221e9420b75d419213e58aa2eab9cbd998bd3d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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