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Frozen pre-match forecast · #153969

Veria VS PAS Giannina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.69%
Draw
18.30%
Away
8.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1091
Log loss
0.3053

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
02f30e7b2dfe6675df81bca8a9eb10b5173a9a736b99eb711302560523a59bee

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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