Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #153666

Dabas VS BKV Előre

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.42%
Draw
20.17%
Away
20.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 590-minute result
Brier score
1.0272
Log loss
1.5891

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
e7d398763dc82e85504ab364924684287de40ac882c8fd371ff5b1060b749eb2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →