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Frozen pre-match forecast · #15363

Jitex W VS Linköping W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.51%
Draw
34.14%
Away
41.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8574
Log loss
1.4061

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
SHA-256
6a1b67b60a268248a72d14cd03422dc97bb6aa870928531b463e2a351c0036a2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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