Frozen pre-match forecast · #153616
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas VS Arenal
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 17 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 18 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
- Record status
- Forecast retained
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 84.38%
- Draw
- 11.72%
- Away
- 3.90%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
Waiting for the final result
This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.
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Explore additional markets, team probability history and opponent-adjusted form. Historical coverage varies by match.
About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 17 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
- SHA-256
- 586709223264cdb23bc3ee2d5eaa467078cb7723c88022e7c6a8f2c1bf9748d8
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.