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Frozen pre-match forecast · #153342

Hoogstraten VS Roeselare Daisel

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.22%
Draw
24.45%
Away
46.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8708
Log loss
1.4085

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
511194f2e7ae979827d7191cab057c40f6d53bf67f24a9f58fbc8c1a03931355

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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