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Frozen pre-match forecast · #153239

Hyères VS Andrézieux

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.23%
Draw
25.43%
Away
23.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8730
Log loss
1.3693

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
f6609f56b4e989b27bc87deb0b350a9cfe75857a5fde7ea97a279de68bf39dab

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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