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Frozen pre-match forecast · #153046

Kalamata VS OFI

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.18%
Draw
27.70%
Away
36.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6145
Log loss
1.0167

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
8ca1d2bbe92a3b32200e7b56b4a507433dc2da4e4ddf066b32596a9fe12e5be5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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