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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152789

Clyde VS Annan Athletic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.76%
Draw
22.00%
Away
21.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2805
Log loss
0.5663

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
ba5f269ae5b743f91aadaf35b2f6ba9ff54ce8d220d022c2511fd3e2586c7576

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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