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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152737

Chippa United VS Kruger United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.09%
Draw
30.02%
Away
32.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6781
Log loss
1.1120

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
2fec91229576d6ea0b5d9e332f033b8f427efd195dc670a2c9d6eccfe23edba9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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