Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #152708

Sokol Brozany VS Mladá Boleslav II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.86%
Draw
24.42%
Away
46.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4268
Log loss
0.7610

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
7a8b05525c68c3cedf8042f03edeb1aabfdb3b0d46a01f29d8d99a8403400e9d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →