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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152706

Vysoké Mýto VS Vykan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
87.15%
Draw
8.64%
Away
4.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0257
Log loss
0.1375

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
74f09e99686e32aa5fce2b6aafa7f7660d6f06965c5ba9bca6586ebf65c120b0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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