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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152635

VV Scherpenzeel VS TEC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.78%
Draw
21.50%
Away
24.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9666
Log loss
1.5371

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
9e2a6e0fb176168c5c1738aae682409e9cd5e97cc62362dd6b068c907fbaaa4f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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