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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152601

Gottne VS Täfteå

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.88%
Draw
22.15%
Away
31.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4442
Log loss
0.7791

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
f47d6402f1f26a0983b8295f29cc8aa56e1415c43b924c6677f16029168d6726

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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