Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #152594

Inter Zapresic VS Jarun

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.45%
Draw
25.61%
Away
34.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8312
Log loss
1.3623

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
c7d4f6b59664cc57986c380caea8b855be41330b3f25f08658dea82a33dbd777

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →