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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152567

Torino U20 VS Roma U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.94%
Draw
24.07%
Away
40.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6492
Log loss
1.0515

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
6634c63379a751667abac5599286522dacfd42ed7b0685027ddd577790cb197c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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