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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152447

Uherský Brod VS Vrchovina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.25%
Draw
23.95%
Away
27.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4025
Log loss
0.7288

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
6cfb0395b26a31af4ea8ffe9200ef95ddf12f6304f797b7a1d493a246ece6599

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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