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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152427

Galanta VS MFK Bytča

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.52%
Draw
20.97%
Away
17.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2227
Log loss
0.4858

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
a0bcd907b593f355140cad1c94cbc9ed589e88441c183a5d4b6ea18948ba7b13

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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