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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152376

Stuttgart U19 VS 1860 München U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.30%
Draw
18.41%
Away
25.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.0466
Log loss
1.6923

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
a350844c4ba9f774ac19ea09fae21de94de0074eff51e36b4ad175240c9f792d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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