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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152327

Brønshøj VS Ringsted

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.47%
Draw
17.36%
Away
13.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1407
Log loss
0.3643

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
98c11ffb55fe8ae828383e4518e922a3c6bc81a239c0c2ac9e9dd49131ef6b6c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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