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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152299

Hinna VS Viking II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.11%
Draw
17.96%
Away
61.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0540
Log loss
1.6040

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
52cb09f5cc822407cd7533aa5a4c68b1da7994a7a9f71d853374bcb297bd7d13

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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