Frozen pre-match forecast · #152274
Adanaspor VS Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 17 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 17 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 13.54%
- Draw
- 18.87%
- Away
- 67.59%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.1590
- Log loss
- 0.3917
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 17 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
- SHA-256
- d87b6f0856dff6a9c6a5d264456c33d962edbde16de9abedd38ca6e45c0c558f
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.