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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152195

Nagykanizsai ULE VS Kozarmisleny FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.53%
Draw
27.28%
Away
35.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6353
Log loss
1.0444

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
5f5c941f6a30515835ae44c12b87da66c3b0b2f7e4389b9a61f4e577b2ec2a75

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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