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Frozen pre-match forecast · #15216

Brønshøj VS ASA Aarhus

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 07:01 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.27%
Draw
27.98%
Away
26.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4494
Log loss
0.7925

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 07:01 UTC
SHA-256
678a8925f417279f7ec6d3019c6b1dac5d5f1f157aa6de0d8690950a8d2fe15d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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