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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152148

Helges VS Enskede

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
7.90%
Draw
13.12%
Away
78.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0676
Log loss
0.2360

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
cab3c452e8f63bc076026372d68182e4d656e6da25ef2a74beb6057f508cc1db

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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