Frozen pre-match forecast · #152127
Preußen Münster U19 VS Paderborn U19
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 60.71%
- Draw
- 18.42%
- Away
- 20.87%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.2319
- Log loss
- 0.4991
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- SHA-256
- 831df70d38794ccd67a365185647ccbcc2bed9f916197748e0271ef748691d91
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.