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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152089

Kirivong Sok Sen Chey VS Visakha

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 08:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
4.56%
Draw
10.61%
Away
84.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.0363
Log loss
0.1645

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
a572c54b7a16c935e0978bb9f99d1adb38f0e5051790a6fd0b65370d4870b72f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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