Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #152079

Chrudim VS Horní Ředice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.83%
Draw
23.86%
Away
27.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3934
Log loss
0.7169

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
44c00ee48f91701e709c2eb252bba470552c68f8341a2cadd8dff2bc9d8257c0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →