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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152058

Concordia VS Viitorul Şelimbăr

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.09%
Draw
20.46%
Away
14.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1846
Log loss
0.4294

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
f5553b1054359392fc18ca0e0da1c2f9b2b3e5a8f69dffb09a4a61d3af1ac03b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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