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Frozen pre-match forecast · #152031

Dinamo Samarqand VS Buxoro

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.78%
Draw
24.85%
Away
24.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8916
Log loss
1.4118

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
d8ae390bc4a27bb950f91074455266949a4d64e8de7f9b16b8ac44f98cbec275

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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