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Frozen pre-match forecast · #151972

MC Oran VS Khenchela

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.21%
Draw
26.79%
Away
17.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2924
Log loss
0.5761

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
6db705f30cd13bcd0bccfa023a7c9fe3c38734205470989d72819ad4424b6a15

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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