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Frozen pre-match forecast · #15183

Gremio Prudente U20 VS Juventus U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 06:16 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.75%
Draw
32.78%
Away
38.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6825
Log loss
1.1154

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 06:16 UTC
SHA-256
a9f265b650fa1ada89cc014fcc56c109e1c9fdae4afc3047b3067cf7f77e1cb4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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