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Frozen pre-match forecast · #151760

Richmond Kickers VS Corpus Christi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 03:02 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.60%
Draw
25.25%
Away
37.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5911
Log loss
0.9782

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 03:02 UTC
SHA-256
b2f1182bf1977407b437a06830520761c67cbbab3e62b8288544c1bdd40326b0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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