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Frozen pre-match forecast · #151664

Hoyvík VS NSÍ II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.97%
Draw
21.88%
Away
40.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5938
Log loss
0.9684

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
SHA-256
221c7f290a0184520f20d6a56aa1be5713fe66458039bc795577593c96a3cb85

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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