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Frozen pre-match forecast · #151561

Al Wasl U23 VS Bani Yas U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:05 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.91%
Draw
22.70%
Away
25.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9315
Log loss
1.4828

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
SHA-256
7af666664c6c84697808c11999f28043e433ab246d20d9bf703d46ab089dec90

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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