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Frozen pre-match forecast · #151552

Dendele VS G3X

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.89%
Draw
13.47%
Away
40.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4762
Log loss
0.7790

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
SHA-256
bbd5259bebb5fa0d3410c72e2a1b49ec7f3b2b109ac11f49314165ff75b1c3ae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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